Inflation to Moderate, But Global Risks Persist: Das

Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das has expressed optimism about India's inflation trajectory. He believes that inflation will gradually ease from the fourth quarter of the current fiscal year. However, Das has cautioned that escalating geopolitical tensions and unforeseen weather events could pose significant upside risks to this outlook.

Key Points:

  • Inflation Moderation: The RBI expects a decline in inflation from the final quarter of FY25.
  • Global Risks: Worsening geopolitical conflicts and unexpected weather disturbances are identified as primary threats to the inflation forecast.
  • Cautious Optimism: While the central bank remains cautiously optimistic, it will maintain vigilance to ensure that inflation remains within the target range.
  • Resilient Economy: India's robust economic growth has provided the RBI with the necessary space to focus on price stability.
  • Policy Stance: The RBI will continue to assess the evolving economic landscape and adopt appropriate monetary policy measures to safeguard price stability and support sustainable growth.

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